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Infographics

2 December 2018

3 month Deposit rate in the GCC

The cooling eurozone economy and its easy monetary policy are reflected in the deposit rate (the rate at which banks park funds at the central bank) which is in negative territory. By contrast, higher deposit rates in the US reflect recovery of the American economy. Same is the case in the GCC region which, due to their currencies’ peg to...

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29 November 2018

Global Financial Centre Index (GFCI) Rankings

Cities around the world, as well as across the MiddleEast, are encouraging innovation and putting in place best practices in order to differentiate themselves as competition between financial centres intensifies. As shown in the diagram below, New York saw its ranking improve on the Global Financial Centres Index (GFCI) from being second in 2017 to claim the top position this...

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28 November 2018

Ease of Doing Business Parameters – Kuwait 2017 – 2019

A comparison of World Bank’s ‘Doing Business’ reports of last three years – 2017, 2018, 2019 -- shows Kuwait has improved, though marginally, on the overall ease of doing business parameter. Performance across sub parameters varies though.

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27 November 2018

GCC Capital Flows (in USD Bn)

During 2003-2007, the GCC region enjoyed positive capital flows buoyed by high growth and rising oil prices. However, the global financial-crisis in 2009 severely impacted the capital flows as foreign investors withdrew their positions. Consequently, as the chart below shows, since 2013 the region has been seeing the loss of capital. The net capital flows are expected to be negative...

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26 November 2018

Fiscal Breakeven Oil Price

The year-on-year fall in the fiscal breakeven oil price of the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and Oman in 2018 are expected to bring relief to them. In contrast, as the diagram shows, the economies of Kuwait and Qatar are likely to continue feeling the pain, as the rise in their fiscal breakeven oil price this year, compared to 2017, is...

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25 November 2018

THINK TANKS IN GCC

These are interesting times in the Gulf as the region is undergoing seismic socio-economic transformation. As the oil-based economies move towards a post-oil future, the role of think tanks to provide the crucial research support as well as the assessment of the effectiveness of these efforts assumes significance. As shown in the chart below, the region is home to some...

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23 November 2018

Banking Sector – Risk Return Metrics

Generally speaking, investing in any #asset involves the risk-return tradeoff. This means the higher the risk, the higher the potential return. As shown in the chart below, the 5-year return of different banking stock indices across the GCC has been moving in tandem with the level of risks associated. For instance, Dubai’s banking index offers the highest return, but it...

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22 November 2018

Foreign Direct Investment

The softening of #crude oil prices over the last few years has taken a toll on the Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows in the GCC region. This year, however, FDI inflows have so far held up relatively well and are expected to be higher than in 2017. Last year saw FDI in Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Kuwait take a sharp...

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20 November 2018

Saudi 5yr bond yield spread widens against similar rated countries

Going by the conventional metrics used by economists, rising sovereign bond yields flash warning signs for a country’s economic trajectory. Currently, the widening spread between Saudi Arabia’s 5-year bond yields and those of similar rated countries imply higher risk perception among investors about the Kingdom’s economy. The key question: is the widening yield temporary or something that is here to...

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