January 2019
النظرة المستقبلية لأسواق الأسهم في دول مجلس التعاون الخليجي 2019
تقرير بحوث أسواق المال
Pages : 39
Executive Summary
Amidst muted growth expectations in global markets, economic outlook for the GCC region as a whole remains positive, as the surge in oil revenues and fiscal reforms of yesteryears will provide the necessary cushion for GCC countries to support economic growth through capital expenditure. Although the recovery in Oil prices did not last the entirety of the year, GCC economies witnessed a sizeable increase in oil revenues. Their fiscal and external balances started to recover after three lacklustre years with only Bahrain and Oman running twin deficits in 2018. With the exception of Bahrain, where there is weakness in government finances, economic factors remain largely favourable.Growth in corporate earnings is expected to witness an uptick in the GCC during 2019 with the exception of Bahrain and Saudi Arabia. Banks will be the primary growth drivers, as the sector is expected to see a rise in profitability and credit growth due to tailwinds such as rising interest rates and new infrastructure projects. Commodity related companies are likely to see their earnings drop due to the fall in oil prices while the construction sector is expected to mildly rebound after years of underperformance.
From a valuation perspective, GCC markets except Saudi Arabia and Qatar remain at attractive levels. As earnings are expected to remain flat for Saudi stocks, it becomes difficult to justify their premium valuations. Similarly, Qatar is expected to undergo consolidation in 2019 after witnessing a rally during the second half of 2018. Market liquidity remains to be a pain point for GCC equity markets as institutional and foreign investor participation continues to remain low, weighed down by geopolitical concerns.
At the start of 2018, we were neutral on the Saudi Arabia, UAE and Kuwait, while remaining negative on Qatar. Saudi Arabia and Kuwait were in line with our expectations, gaining 8.3% and 7.8% respectively during the year. The UAE was a mixed bag, with Abu Dhabi and Dubai moving in opposite directions. Rise in Oil prices and government support supplemented the growth of Abu Dhabi while the slowdown of economic growth and the weakness in real estate market weighed in on Dubai. Qatar markets performed contrary to our expectations as the country successfully overcame the effects of the diplomatic standoff, which was initially expected to have a bearing on the country’s economy. Quick establishment of alternate trade routes and the support lent to the banking system through the injection of government deposits helped the economy to stage a turnaround.
Table of Content
- Executive Summary
- Looking Back at 2018
- الدولة-wise Performance Analysis
- What to Expect in 2019?
- Kuwait MSCI index inclusion
- Dubai market meltdown
- REITs: A rapidly evolving asset class
- Appendix
Key Questions Addressed in this report
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- نزود العملاء بمعلومات وآراء في مجالات لا تزال غير مستكشفة بهدف تزويدهم بالمعلومات اللازمة لاتخاذ قرارات استراتيجية مدروسة.
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الاستفسارات الشائعة
Who prepared this report? Experienced and qualified team of Marmore Mena Intelligence has prepared this report. Since its inception, Marmore has published over 1000 research reports and covered more than 25 varied industries and policy segments; all focused primarily on the GCC economies. Do you have updates?No. This is a one off report. However, if required, upon specific request we could provide you with an update. Can I only download certain sections of the report? No. The report can be downloaded in full length only Can we ask questions? Yes, by all means. You can write your queries to us at enquiry@e-marmore.com
Executive Summary
1. إدراج مؤشر الكويت إلى مصاف الأسواق الناشئة على مؤشر MSCI 2. انهيار أسواق دبي 3. الصناديق العقارية المدرّة للدخل(المتداولة): فئات الأصول سريعة التطورTable of Content
- Executive Summary
- Looking Back at 2018
- الدولة-wise Performance Analysis
- What to Expect in 2019?
- Kuwait MSCI index inclusion
- Dubai market meltdown
- REITs: A rapidly evolving asset class
- Appendix
Key Questions Addressed in this report
This report can add value to
Customize this report
Why Custom Research?
- Research and intelligence to suit your business requirements
- Informed decision making
What are Benefits of Customization?
- To-the-point, long or short research reports could be requested
- Reports are exclusively prepared for you
You Ask We Deliver
- Over a decade Marmore has successfully navigated this space of customized research to serve its clients and cater to their unique requirements.
- Our customized research support spans sector research, equity and credit investment notes, modelling, valuation, investment screening, periodical etc.
- نزود العملاء بمعلومات وآراء في مجالات لا تزال غير مستكشفة بهدف تزويدهم بالمعلومات اللازمة لاتخاذ قرارات استراتيجية مدروسة.
- Our offerings marries the challenges of cost, time, scope & data availability to generate actionable outcomes that are specific to our clients’ needs.
الاستفسارات الشائعة
Who prepared this report? Experienced and qualified team of Marmore Mena Intelligence has prepared this report. Since its inception, Marmore has published over 1000 research reports and covered more than 25 varied industries and policy segments; all focused primarily on the GCC economies. Do you have updates?No. This is a one off report. However, if required, upon specific request we could provide you with an update. Can I only download certain sections of the report? No. The report can be downloaded in full length only Can we ask questions? Yes, by all means. You can write your queries to us at enquiry@e-marmore.com
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